Live evidence case / SE-BESS-SODIUM-001 / v0.1

Sodium-Ion BESS: From launch claim to field evidence.

Has sodium-ion stationary storage crossed from product and production claims into a procurable, delivered, commissioned technology with public field-operating evidence?

Current answer: product launch and a large cooperation agreement are supported. A named delivered and commissioned customer system is NOT ESTABLISHED at the 2026-09-24 knowledge cutoff.

Decision boundary

Four commercial events that must not be collapsed.

A product announcement is not a delivery. A contract is not a commissioned site. A test facility is not customer operating history. This case covers stationary BESS only.

PRODUCT ANNOUNCEDSUPPLY COMMITTEDCUSTOMER DELIVEREDSITE COMMISSIONEDFIELD HISTORY

Current evidence state

The market claim is ahead of public field evidence.

No confidence score is inferred. Manufacturer language remains attributed unless a qualifying customer, operator, regulator, or independent record establishes the next state.

Stationary product announcedSUPPORTED

TENER Sodium publicly launched.

Supply cooperation agreementSUPPORTED

60 GWh agreement described by both counterparties.

Production readinessVERIFICATION REQUIRED

Capability language is manufacturer-attributed.

Customer batch deliveryNOT ESTABLISHED

A planned milestone is not a completed delivery.

Named commissioned siteNOT ESTABLISHED

No qualifying public site record accepted.

Independent field performanceNOT ESTABLISHED

No public customer-linked dataset accepted.

Long operating historyUNKNOWN

No qualifying duration or reliability record.

Lifecycle cost advantage vs LFPNOT ESTABLISHED

System-level, duty-cycle-specific evidence is absent.

Universal LFP replacementNOT ESTABLISHED

No universal substitution claim is inferred.

Dual clock

When it happened and when it became usable evidence.

Event time locates the claim or agreement. Knowledge time records when StructureEvidence accepted the source into this bounded case. Both remain visible.

Event time

2021-07-29 → 2026-08-25

The dated sequence of announcements, product launches, agreement signing, and market activity.

Knowledge time / v0.1

2026-09-24

The cutoff at which the records below were assessed. Later evidence cannot silently backfill this snapshot.

Evidence timeline

Claims accumulate. The field threshold has not yet crossed.

Each record supports only the narrow state written below it.

2021-07-29 · CATLFirst-generation sodium-ion technology announced

Supports a public technology and industrialization plan. Does not establish stationary BESS delivery.

2025-04-21 · CATLNaxtra product launch and mass-production claim

Supports a manufacturer product claim. Does not establish a commissioned stationary system.

2026-04-27 · CATL + HyperStrongThree-year 60 GWh cooperation agreement

Counterparty corroboration establishes the agreement. It does not establish shipment or commissioning.

2026-06-22 · CATLTENER Sodium stationary BESS launched

Supports product existence and stated future milestones. “Field-validated” remains source-attributed without disclosed customer field data.

2026-08-25 · CATLBrazil showcase and market partnership announced

Supports market activity, not a named commissioned sodium-ion customer site.

2026-09-24 · Knowledge cutoffNAMED COMMISSIONED SITE: NOT ESTABLISHED

No qualifying public delivery, commissioning, grid-connection, or customer operating-history record was accepted into v0.1.

Source provenance

What the accepted sources do—and do not—prove.

These are primary manufacturer and counterparty disclosures. They are useful for attribution, but are not treated as independent audits.

SUPPORTED

Product existence

CATL publicly launched TENER Sodium as a stationary energy-storage product.

Open manufacturer source
SOURCE-ATTRIBUTED

Performance and readiness

Mass-production, field-validation, safety, and performance language remains attributable to CATL until qualifying external evidence is accepted.

Open market announcement

Next state transitions

What evidence would change the map?

Each item is a specific transition threshold, not a general request for more information.

NOT ESTABLISHED

Customer delivery

Why it matters

Supply intent does not prove fulfilled delivery.

Minimum resolving evidence

Dated, attributable shipment and customer acceptance for a sodium-ion stationary system.

Verify this gap
NOT ESTABLISHED

Commissioned site

Why it matters

A delivered system may not be operating.

Minimum resolving evidence

Named operator, named site, system boundary, commissioning date, and grid or service status.

Verify this gap
UNKNOWN

Operating history

Why it matters

Commissioning does not establish durability or reliability.

Minimum resolving evidence

Dated runtime, duty cycle, availability, degradation, incidents, and maintenance tied to a named system.

Verify this gap
NOT ESTABLISHED

Independent validation

Why it matters

Manufacturer test claims are not customer field validation.

Minimum resolving evidence

Independent test or operator dataset with method, boundary, and traceable system identity.

Verify this gap

Living case protocol

New evidence changes state. It does not rewrite history.

Every accepted update receives an event time and knowledge time. Earlier snapshots remain retrievable. Contradictions, corrections, and superseding evidence are appended with their scope and reason.