[
  {
    "critical_assumption": "Public source definitions remain applicable during the observation window.",
    "description": "SDF treasury deployment remains the dominant economic dependency.",
    "discriminating_evidence_needed": "Independent longitudinal evidence for the specific disputed mechanism.",
    "hypothesis_id": "XLM-R1-H1",
    "observed_contradicting_evidence": [],
    "potential_falsifier": "Independent network revenue or usage replacing treasury funding would weaken this.",
    "source_dependency": "Official and primary data sources dominate; independence is not inflated.",
    "status": "VIABLE",
    "status_reason": "Status derived from observation fit and targeted counter-evidence limits.",
    "supporting_evidence": [
      "XLM-R1-O1",
      "XLM-R1-O2",
      "XLM-R1-O3",
      "XLM-R1-O4"
    ]
  },
  {
    "critical_assumption": "Public source definitions remain applicable during the observation window.",
    "description": "Network activity is becoming less dependent on SDF treasury flows.",
    "discriminating_evidence_needed": "Independent longitudinal evidence for the specific disputed mechanism.",
    "hypothesis_id": "XLM-R1-H2",
    "observed_contradicting_evidence": [],
    "potential_falsifier": "Attribution showing usage depends on SDF incentives would weaken this.",
    "source_dependency": "Official and primary data sources dominate; independence is not inflated.",
    "status": "UNRESOLVED",
    "status_reason": "Status derived from observation fit and targeted counter-evidence limits.",
    "supporting_evidence": [
      "XLM-R1-O8"
    ]
  },
  {
    "critical_assumption": "Public source definitions remain applicable during the observation window.",
    "description": "Payments and RWA adoption dominate the structure more than treasury mechanics.",
    "discriminating_evidence_needed": "Independent longitudinal evidence for the specific disputed mechanism.",
    "hypothesis_id": "XLM-R1-H3",
    "observed_contradicting_evidence": [],
    "potential_falsifier": "Treasury-flow magnitudes remaining material relative to adoption would weaken this.",
    "source_dependency": "Official and primary data sources dominate; independence is not inflated.",
    "status": "WEAKENED",
    "status_reason": "Status derived from observation fit and targeted counter-evidence limits.",
    "supporting_evidence": [
      "XLM-R1-O8"
    ]
  },
  {
    "critical_assumption": "Public source definitions remain applicable during the observation window.",
    "description": "Validator quorum composition is the primary structural constraint.",
    "discriminating_evidence_needed": "Independent longitudinal evidence for the specific disputed mechanism.",
    "hypothesis_id": "XLM-R1-H4",
    "observed_contradicting_evidence": [],
    "potential_falsifier": "Detailed independent quorum-set concentration data would be needed to resolve this.",
    "source_dependency": "Official and primary data sources dominate; independence is not inflated.",
    "status": "UNRESOLVED",
    "status_reason": "Status derived from observation fit and targeted counter-evidence limits.",
    "supporting_evidence": [
      "XLM-R1-O7"
    ]
  },
  {
    "critical_assumption": "Public source definitions remain applicable during the observation window.",
    "description": "Foundation funding and payment-network mission jointly explain current structure.",
    "discriminating_evidence_needed": "Independent longitudinal evidence for the specific disputed mechanism.",
    "hypothesis_id": "XLM-R1-H5",
    "observed_contradicting_evidence": [],
    "potential_falsifier": "Self-sustaining network activity detached from SDF mandate funding would weaken this.",
    "source_dependency": "Official and primary data sources dominate; independence is not inflated.",
    "status": "VIABLE",
    "status_reason": "Status derived from observation fit and targeted counter-evidence limits.",
    "supporting_evidence": [
      "XLM-R1-O1",
      "XLM-R1-O4",
      "XLM-R1-O8"
    ]
  }
]